Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 20:20 UTC

Final: Auburn Tigers 21–15 Vanderbilt Commodores

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 75.56%1.32fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.829%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.18%75.25%75.58%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3281.97%79.42%79.37%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV +0.218%
Edge +0.053%
Kelly +0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.75%24.42%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.263.863.904.1030.67%25.91%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 75.56%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 24.44%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.218%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.218%E +0.053%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -0.515%E -0.127%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 18:20
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.00%E -0.248%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -1.49%E -0.371%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 20:00
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.23%E -0.557%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 15:16
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.23%E -0.557%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.23%E -0.557%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 12:55
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.45%EV -7.82%E -6.41%K -35.55%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -3.20%E -0.809%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 16:35
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 16:35
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.45%E -0.873%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 16:35
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.04%E -3.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.04%E -3.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 20:14
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 20:04
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 20:11
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 16:35
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.07%E -5.74%K -30.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.89%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.89%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.31%E -5.09%K -26.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.89%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.31%E -5.09%K -26.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.89%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.04%E -3.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 20:15
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 20:14
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 20:15
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.53%E -1.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.56%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.56%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 20:09
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.56%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.00%E -3.33%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 20:01
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.00%E -3.33%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.00%E -3.33%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 20:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.55%E -4.44%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.00%E -3.33%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -0.265%E -0.201%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -20.31%E -6.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 20:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%0.1%2026-09-26 20:14
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.01%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.99%0.4%2026-09-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-26 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-26 20:15
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-26 20:14
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-09-26 17:55
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-09-26 20:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-26 20:20