Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Florida Gators

2026-09-19 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%49.56%49.60%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.921.921.9352.63%52.22%52.22%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.39%50.44%50.40%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.881.881.8953.48%53.12%53.05%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Auburn Tigers (Local): 49.56%; Florida Gators (Visit): 50.44%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.93, with an expected value of -4.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.34%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.18%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.