The School of Odds

Auburn Tigers v Florida Gators

2026-09-19 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.00%50.00%50.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.881.9154.64%53.33%53.19%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%50.00%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.881.881.9154.05%53.12%53.05%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.