Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Baylor Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 18:59 UTC

Final: Auburn Tigers 17–16 Baylor Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 71.70%1.39fair odd
EV +0.377%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.14%71.35%71.73%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.4076.92%75.12%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baylor Bears (Visit)

Prediction 28.30%3.53fair odd
EV -0.941%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.377%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.65%28.27%32.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.863.333.353.5034.97%30.04%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 71.70%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 28.30%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.377%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV +0.377%E +0.269%K +0.941%G +0.004%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -19.06%E -6.66%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:19
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 01:53
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 19:45
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.21%E -0.937%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:25
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 18:20
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 03:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:44
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -6.04%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 03:44
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -6.04%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:30
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.941%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:24
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 00:29
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 04:49
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 03:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:05
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 08:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 04:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 04:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:39
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 03:39
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -3.49%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:44
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:45
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.65%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.35%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:56
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.65%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.35%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 12:44
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 12:44
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.75%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.75%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60%0.1%2026-09-03 14:14
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35%0.5%2026-09-04 13:49
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-03 13:40
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-09-04 07:25