The School of Odds

Auburn Tigers v Baylor Bears

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 70.59%1.42fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -11.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%70.53%70.50%71.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3676.92%74.34%74.07%73.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baylor Bears (Visit)

Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.47%29.50%30.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.253.3632.79%31.14%30.77%29.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 20:39
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 20:40
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-23 20:40
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 20:35
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.00%E -2.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:45
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 10:40
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 16:09
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 16:09
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 16:09
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 16:09
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 16:08
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 16:09
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.71%E -3.49%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 16:09
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.41%E -4.04%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.47%E -0.438%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 14:25
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.41%E -4.04%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.41%E -4.04%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 20:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -1.17%E -0.349%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 11:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.94%E -0.890%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.12%E -4.60%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 20:40
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -8.24%E -6.34%K -27.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.29%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.