The School of Odds

Auburn Tigers v Baylor Bears

2026-09-05 19:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Option 1: Auburn Tigers (Local)

1.3176.34%Min
1.3573.96%Mean
1.3673.53%Median
1.3872.46%Max
68.29%1.464Min
71.65%1.396Max
70.05%1.428Mean
69.59%1.437Median
69.87%1.431IQM
70.08%1.427Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.38 under the IQM model: 69.87%

EV -3.58%Edge -2.59%Kelly -9.41%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Baylor Bears (Visit)

2.9533.90%Min
3.1431.89%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.3529.85%Max
28.35%3.527Min
31.71%3.153Max
29.95%3.339Mean
30.41%3.288Median
30.13%3.319IQM
29.92%3.342Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.35 under the IQM model: 30.13%

EV +0.929%Edge +0.277%Kelly +0.395%Growth +0.004%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAuburn Tigers (Local)Baylor Bears (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.34I 74.63% NM 71.43%EV -6.37% E -4.75% K -18.74% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.57%EV +0.929% E +0.277% K +0.395% G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-21 20:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19% NM 71.52%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%3.34I 29.94% NM 28.48%EV +0.627% E +0.188% K +0.268% G +0.002%5.1%2026-06-04 16:39
NordicBet1.31I 76.34% NM 71.65%EV -8.47% E -6.46% K -27.31% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 28.35%EV -0.277% E -0.084% K -0.120% G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:09
Betsson1.31I 76.34% NM 71.65%EV -8.47% E -6.46% K -27.31% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 28.35%EV -0.277% E -0.084% K -0.120% G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:09
Caesars1.34I 74.63% NM 71.12%EV -6.37% E -4.75% K -18.74% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.88%EV -0.578% E -0.175% K -0.251% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 06:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -0.578% E -0.175% K -0.251% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 18:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19% NM 71.27%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.73%EV -0.578% E -0.175% K -0.251% G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 20:49
Bovada1.37I 72.99% NM 70.02%EV -4.28% E -3.12% K -11.55% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.98%EV -3.59% E -1.12% K -1.63% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 11:15
DraftKings1.38I 72.46% NM 69.54%EV -3.58% E -2.59% K -9.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.46%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 11:14
GTbets1.38I 72.46% NM 69.54%EV -3.58% E -2.59% K -9.41% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.46%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 11:15
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:09
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.10% E -1.62% K -2.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:10
Fanatics1.38I 72.46% NM 69.20%EV -3.58% E -2.59% K -9.41% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.80%EV -6.60% E -2.13% K -3.14% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -4.28% E -3.12% K -11.55% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -8.11% E -2.66% K -3.96% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 09:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19% NM 69.63%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.37%EV -8.11% E -2.66% K -3.96% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53% NM 69.09%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.04I 32.89% NM 30.91%EV -8.41% E -2.77% K -4.12% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 21:04
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.62% E -3.21% K -4.81% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 09:35
BetRivers1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.62% E -3.21% K -4.81% G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.62% E -3.21% K -4.81% G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:09
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.62% E -3.21% K -4.81% G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.72%EV -9.62% E -3.21% K -4.81% G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 15:09
Unibet1.37I 72.99% NM 68.29%EV -4.28% E -3.12% K -11.55% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.71%EV -11.12% E -3.77% K -5.70% G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -4.97% E -3.66% K -13.82% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV -11.12% E -3.77% K -5.70% G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19% NM 68.93%EV -7.07% E -5.32% K -21.42% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.07%EV -11.12% E -3.77% K -5.70% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth