Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.11
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Army Black Knights (Local): 53.68%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 46.32%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.51%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.68%E -4.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.45%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.73%E -1.30%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 16:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 10:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.98%E -2.82%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.36%E -3.68%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.51%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.51%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -7.83%E -3.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 04:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -5.97%E -2.94%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -5.97%E -2.94%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.36%E -3.68%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 15:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.68%E -4.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.68%E -4.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.36%E -3.68%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 21:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.36%E -3.68%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -11.53%E -6.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.29%E -4.19%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 15:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |