Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Army Black Knights v Air Force Falcons

2026-11-08 00:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Army Black Knights (Local)

Prediction 66.39%1.51fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%66.39%66.39%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4671.43%69.93%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 33.61%2.98fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%33.61%33.61%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.832.832.8535.71%35.40%35.40%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Army Black Knights (Local): 66.39%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 33.61%. For Army Black Knights (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.46, with an expected value of -3.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.07%E -2.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-10-28 23:35