Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas State Red Wolves v West Georgia Wolves

2026-09-12 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 96.84%1.03fair odd

EV -2.19%

Edge -2.17%

Kelly -218.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

93.38%96.60%96.84%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.38%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Georgia Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 3.16%31.69fair odd

EV +29.37%

Edge +0.716%

Kelly +0.734%

Growth +0.216%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.38%3.40%3.16%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

14.2528.2831.0041.007.02%3.54%3.23%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local): 96.84%; West Georgia Wolves (Visit): 3.16%. For West Georgia Wolves (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 31.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 41.00, producing a positive expected value of +29.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.16%E -3.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +29.37%E +0.716%K +0.734%G +0.216%	2.4%	2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.16%E -3.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +13.59%E +0.377%K +0.388%G +0.053%	2.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.16%E -3.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -33.74%E -1.61%K -1.69%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -33.74%E -1.61%K -1.69%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -55.04%E -3.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 98.48%	66.00I 1.52%NM 1.52%	-0.4%	2026-09-12 15:41
Novig◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.61%	41.67I 2.40%NM 2.39%	0.4%	2026-09-12 14:29
ProphetX◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91%	32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%	1.2%	2026-09-12 19:45