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Arkansas State Red Wolves v South Alabama Jaguars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local)
Prediction 51.15%1.96fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.09%51.05%52.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.10%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)
Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%48.91%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0153.48%51.41%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local): 51.15%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 48.85%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.76%E -1.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.27%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 05:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.87%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 13:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.87%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -4.87%E -2.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.27%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 09:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.38%E -2.91%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.80%E -0.896%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.80%E -0.896%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.29%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |