Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas State Red Wolves v Kennesaw State Owls

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:00 UTC

Final: Arkansas State Red Wolves 17–14 Kennesaw State Owls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 67.52%1.48fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.71%67.48%67.51%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.42%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kennesaw State Owls (Visit)

Prediction 32.48%3.08fair odd
EV +0.676%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.322%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.52%32.49%34.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.742.962.953.1036.50%33.82%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas State Red Wolves (Local): 67.52%; Kennesaw State Owls (Visit): 32.48%. For Kennesaw State Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.676%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.676%E +0.218%K +0.322%G +0.002%3.7%2026-09-25 11:40
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.676%E +0.218%K +0.322%G +0.002%3.7%2026-09-24 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -0.298%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.298%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.298%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 11:45
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.948%E -0.311%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 21:24
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.948%E -0.311%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-24 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:54
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:54
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.57%E -0.857%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:20
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.14%E -4.42%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.17%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 21:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.12%E -2.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 23:05
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.79%E -3.40%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 22:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -6.82%E -4.94%K -17.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -6.79%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.17%E -6.01%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -6.79%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.77%E -1.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.90%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 22:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -3.44%E -2.41%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -11.02%E -4.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-26 22:55
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.5%2026-09-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-26 22:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-26 22:55