Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 00:00 UTC

Final: Arkansas Razorbacks 34–6 Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 69.67%1.44fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.52%69.67%72.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.50%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit)

Prediction 30.33%3.30fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%30.48%30.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.173.4535.71%31.66%31.60%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 69.67%; Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit): 30.33%. For Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +4.65%E +1.35%K +1.90%G +0.088%4.7%2026-09-26 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 22:34
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.104%E +0.032%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.41%E -0.435%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.435%K -0.628%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.02%E -0.625%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-26 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 23:54
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 23:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:44
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 23:54
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 01:40
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 05:07
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:54
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:45
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.57%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 23:35
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.17%E -2.28%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:20
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -1.77%E -1.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.46%E -5.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 23:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 71.17%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.83%-0.3%2026-09-26 23:55
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-09-26 23:35
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-09-26 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-26 23:40
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-09-26 23:55
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-09-26 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-09-26 23:55