Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Missouri Tigers

2026-10-31 23:45 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%23.74%23.74%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.944.004.0026.67%25.40%25.00%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 76.26%1.31fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -15.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.76%76.26%76.26%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2683.33%81.47%81.63%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 23.74%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 76.26%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.26, with an expected value of -3.91%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.05%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.91%E -3.10%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.05%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.20%E -5.04%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 20:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.05%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 19:41
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 19:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-10-23 00:30