Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Final: Arkansas Razorbacks 17–45 Georgia Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 6.93%14.44fair odd
EV +14.29%
Edge +0.866%
Kelly +0.922%
Growth +0.132%

assuming max odds 16.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.88%7.13%6.79%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5013.3714.0016.5010.53%7.48%7.14%6.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 93.07%1.07fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -22.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.13%92.87%93.21%94.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0699.01%97.38%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 6.93%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 93.07%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.44. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +14.29%E +0.866%K +0.922%G +0.132%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.12%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 15:20
FanDuel🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +10.82%E +0.677%K +0.722%G +0.078%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 17:25
Bally Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +10.82%E +0.677%K +0.722%G +0.078%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +10.82%E +0.677%K +0.722%G +0.078%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +10.82%E +0.677%K +0.722%G +0.078%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 12:50
betPARX🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +10.82%E +0.677%K +0.722%G +0.078%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 12:49
Fanatics🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-16 02:35
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 12:45
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:14
Pinnacle🎯14.83I 6.74%NM 6.55%EV +2.72%E +0.183%K +0.197%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.45%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +0.850%E +0.058%K +0.063%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +0.850%E +0.058%K +0.063%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +0.435%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 15:31
Fliff🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +0.435%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:59
GTbets🎯14.30I 6.99%NM 6.72%EV -0.951%E -0.066%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.28%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 15:02
Marathon Bet🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -1.30%E -0.091%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -6.00%E -5.94%K -599.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:00
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 04:09
Caesars🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:12
BetUS🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:59
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 13:00
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:08
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 13:10
Bovada🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:53
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 15:26
Betsson🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 15:59
NordicBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯11.92I 8.39%NM 7.95%EV -17.44%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.05%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:59
ReBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -20.34%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.27%E -2.16%K -45.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -20.34%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV -22.08%E -1.96%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -5.07%E -4.97%K -253.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -23.81%E -2.16%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -1.34%E -1.27%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -23.81%E -2.16%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.27%E -2.16%K -45.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:59
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -23.81%E -2.16%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:50
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -23.81%E -2.16%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 15:33
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -30.73%E -3.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 15:59
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -30.73%E -3.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:30
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -34.20%E -3.60%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.20%E -3.08%K -80.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:59
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -34.20%E -3.60%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -4.13%E -4.01%K -137.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01%0.2%2026-09-19 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Matchbook◎26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Kalshi◎20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-09-18 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎22.00I 4.55%NM 4.47%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.53%1.6%2026-09-19 15:54