Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v TCU Horned Frogs

2026-11-07 03:15 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 73.71%1.36fair odd

EV -1.23%

Edge -0.919%

Kelly -3.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.27%73.60%73.62%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.281.291.3481.97%78.09%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd

EV -0.092%

Edge -0.024%

Kelly -0.033%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.75%26.40%26.38%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.543.553.8031.25%28.28%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 73.71%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 26.29%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.803. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.800, with an expected value of -0.092%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -1.23%E -0.919%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -11.92%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-01 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.18%E -3.21%K -13.93%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 06:55
Betsson🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.18%E -3.21%K -13.93%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 06:55
SportsBet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -4.18%E -3.21%K -13.93%G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -12.45%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 06:25
betfred_uk🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.18%E -3.21%K -13.93%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.55%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-01 06:55
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.41%E -0.375%K -0.511%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 06:30
Fanatics🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.41%E -0.375%K -0.511%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 06:58
Coolbet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.35%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 06:55
Bet Right🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.35%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 06:55
NordicBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -8.24%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-01 06:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -4.92%E -3.81%K -16.95%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -15.87%E -4.96%K -7.21%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-01 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.46%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.092%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-01 06:30
William Hill🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.46%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.41%E -0.375%K -0.511%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-01 04:35
ReBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.46%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.72%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 06:30
LeoVegas🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.34%E -7.59%K -40.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -5.35%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-01 06:30
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -10.08%E -8.26%K -45.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-01 06:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.2%	2026-11-01 07:00
Polymarket◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%	7.1%	2026-11-01 06:25
Novig◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-11-01 05:55
ProphetX◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	100.0%	2026-11-01 06:20