Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

2026-09-06 01:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 96.65%1.03fair odd

EV -2.38%

Edge -2.36%

Kelly -238.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.23%96.65%96.84%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.15%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 3.35%29.85fair odd

EV +37.35%

Edge +0.911%

Kelly +0.934%

Growth +0.349%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.38%3.35%3.16%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.5025.3226.0041.009.52%3.95%3.85%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 96.65%; Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit): 3.35%. For Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 29.85. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 41.00, producing a positive expected value of +37.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.35%E -3.35%K +0.000%G +0.000%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +37.35%E +0.911%K +0.934%G +0.349%	2.4%	2026-08-12 00:09
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +3.85%E +0.124%K +0.128%G +0.005%	2.2%	2026-08-07 16:55
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +3.85%E +0.124%K +0.128%G +0.005%	2.2%	2026-08-07 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -12.90%E -0.496%K -0.516%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-07 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV -21.28%E -0.905%K -0.946%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-07 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -52.26%E -3.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -2.38%E -2.36%K -238.35%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -64.83%E -6.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 17:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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