The School of Odds

Arizona Wildcats v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

2026-09-06 01:30 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 94.87%1.05fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -161.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%94.87%94.87%96.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0299%99%99%98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 5.13%19.51fair odd
EV +28.13%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.330%

assuming max odds 25.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.88%5.13%5.13%9.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.0015.9414.3825.0010%6%7%4%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.18%E -4.13%K -417.63%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +28.13%E +1.13%K +1.17%G +0.330%3.0%2026-07-24 07:00
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.23%E -3.16%K -161.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.12%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 07:05
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.16%EV -4.18%E -4.13%K -417.63%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.84%EV -29.53%E -2.15%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 07:05
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.18%E -4.13%K -417.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -48.75%E -4.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.