Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

2026-09-06 01:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 96.03%1.04fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -301.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%95.93%96.03%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 3.97%25.17fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.132%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%4.07%3.97%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2521.7021.0026.007.02%4.61%4.76%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 96.03%; Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit): 3.97%. For Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.17. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 26.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +3.30%E +0.127%K +0.132%G +0.004%2.9%2026-08-07 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +3.30%E +0.127%K +0.132%G +0.004%2.9%2026-08-31 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV -6.64%E -0.282%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -8.62%E -0.375%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:44
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -16.57%E -0.789%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.01%E -2.98%K -301.27%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -43.39%E -3.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 05:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-08-31 21:25
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 97.37%37.04I 2.70%NM 2.63%2.7%2026-09-01 16:29
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%3.6%2026-09-02 22:55