Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Iowa State Cyclones

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

76%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 76.49%1.31fair odd

EV -4.39%

Edge -3.51%

Kelly -17.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.34%76.49%76.49%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.251.251.2580.65%80.32%80.32%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd

EV -3.59%

Edge -0.876%

Kelly -1.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.36%23.51%23.51%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.054.054.1025.00%24.69%24.69%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 76.49%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 23.51%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -3.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.57%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-14 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-14 22:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 63.94%	2.27I 44.05%NM 36.06%	22.2%	2026-10-15 01:10