Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 75.88%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 24.12%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -10.46%E -8.86%K -58.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +3.71%E +0.862%K +1.12%G +0.042% | 8.0% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.29%E +0.308%K +0.404%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 20:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.395%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.63%E -2.86%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.12%E -0.273%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.12%E -0.273%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 22:51 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.42%E -6.08%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -2.32%E -0.574%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.81%E -0.696%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.81%E -0.696%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.63%E -2.86%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-24 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.42%E -6.08%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-23 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.63%E -2.86%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.63%E -2.86%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-23 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.66%E -5.42%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.66%E -5.42%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.94%E -7.45%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 23:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.18%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.91%E -4.76%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.71%EV -1.35%E -1.04%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.29%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.11%E -1.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 23:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.39%E -3.48%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.15%E -4.12%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.42%E -6.08%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.42%E -6.08%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.94%E -7.45%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.87%E -2.24%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 12:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.66%E -5.42%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38% | 0.4% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-24 16:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.6% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |