Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils v Morgan State Bears

2026-09-06 02:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

99%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 99.18%1.01fair odd

EV -0.820%

Edge -0.820%

Kelly +0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

99.18%99.18%99.18%99.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morgan State Bears (Visit)

Prediction 0.82%122.00fair odd

EV -0.820%

Edge -0.007%

Kelly -0.007%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 121.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.82%0.82%0.82%0.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

121.00121.00121.00121.000.83%0.83%0.83%0.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona State Sun Devils (Local): 99.18%; Morgan State Bears (Visit): 0.82%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.00, with an expected value of -0.820%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.18%EV -0.820%E -0.820%K +0.000%G +0.000%	121.00I 0.83%NM 0.82%EV -0.820%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%	0.8%	2026-08-10 18:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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