Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:10 UTC

Final: Arizona State Sun Devils 24–17 Kansas Jayhawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 65.08%1.54fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.69%64.94%65.09%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5071.43%68.14%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 34.92%2.86fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.06%34.91%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.17%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona State Sun Devils (Local): 65.08%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 34.92%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.27%E +0.439%K +0.670%G +0.009%3.9%2026-09-19 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.123%E -0.043%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.17%E -0.414%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 15:54
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.99%E -3.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.52%E -0.539%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 15:06
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.22%E -0.792%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.99%E -3.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.22%E -0.792%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.22%E -0.792%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.22%E -0.792%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 15:34
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.92%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 15:44
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:38
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:01
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.89%E -6.35%K -22.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.96%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 15:01
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.59%E -5.34%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:34
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.99%E -3.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.01%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:59
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.99%E -3.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:02
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 15:01
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 15:06
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.76%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.46%E -2.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.20%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.20%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:04
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.20%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:57
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 14:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:59
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 15:51
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -11.30%E -4.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -12.00%E -4.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-09-19 15:59
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-09-19 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-19 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-19 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%10.3%2026-09-19 16:04