Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils v Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 02:35 UTC

Final: Arizona State Sun Devils 30–12 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona State Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 90.25%1.11fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -49.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.96%90.10%90.33%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0796.15%94.38%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 9.75%10.25fair odd
EV +7.29%
Edge +0.663%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.90%9.67%13.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.369.5011.0014.29%10.69%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona State Sun Devils (Local): 90.25%; Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 9.75%. For Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.25. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.663%K +0.729%G +0.053%4.3%2026-10-11 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.84%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.51I 9.51%NM 9.16%EV +2.51%E +0.239%K +0.264%G +0.007%3.9%2026-10-11 02:15
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.42%E +0.230%K +0.254%G +0.006%3.9%2026-10-10 21:05
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.42%E +0.230%K +0.254%G +0.006%3.9%2026-10-04 20:25
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.42%E +0.230%K +0.254%G +0.006%3.9%2026-10-10 23:15
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -1.48%E -0.147%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -1.48%E -0.147%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -1.48%E -0.147%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 13:59
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 23:14
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.46%E -0.246%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.44%E -0.347%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 02:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.26%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.82I 10.18%NM 9.74%EV -4.22%E -0.429%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 02:19
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -4.41%E -0.450%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.90%E -0.502%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.90%E -0.502%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 21:30
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 21:07
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 23:57
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.34%E -0.772%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.78%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 23:55
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 23:54
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 02:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 23:55
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 23:54
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.21%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 02:25
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.09%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.09%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.09%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:25
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:45
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 02:20
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -26.85%E -3.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -26.85%E -3.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -31.72%E -4.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.98%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.02%-0.3%2026-10-11 02:15
Polymarket◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-10-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-10-11 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-10-11 02:25
BetOpenly◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.88%13.95I 7.17%NM 7.12%0.6%2026-10-11 02:25
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-10-11 02:25
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-10-11 02:25
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-10-11 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-10-11 02:25