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Arizona State Sun Devils v Baylor Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona State Sun Devils (Local)
Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +2.45%
Kelly +5.72%
Growth +0.245%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%59.07%59.59%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.581.7564.94%62.95%63.29%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baylor Bears (Visit)
Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.677%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.93%40.41%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.362.382.5048.78%42.37%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona State Sun Devils (Local): 59.59%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 40.41%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +4.29%E +2.45%K +5.72%G +0.245% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -15.15%E -7.21%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +1.31%E +0.770%K +1.87%G +0.024% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -17.17%E -8.37%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 02:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +1.31%E +0.770%K +1.87%G +0.024% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -17.17%E -8.37%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 02:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.41%E -0.577%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 02:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 02:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -8.68%E -3.84%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 02:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 02:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 02:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.66%E -2.88%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.02%E +0.406%K +0.677%G +0.007% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.208%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.23%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 02:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 57.96% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 42.04% | 23.2% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 57.96% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 42.04% | 23.2% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 57.96% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 42.04% | 23.2% | 2026-10-04 02:35 |