Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local): 74.81%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 25.19%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.771%E +0.193%K +0.257%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.57%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -0.237%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.74%E -4.56%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.75%E -0.448%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.74%E -4.56%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.74%E -4.56%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.01%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.74%E -4.56%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.49%E -5.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.74%E -4.56%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.49%E -5.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-10 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.99%E -6.49%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.99%E -3.93%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |