Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian State Mountaineers v Maine Black Bears

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 88.97%1.12fair odd

EV -3.91%

Edge -3.62%

Kelly -48.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.34%88.97%88.84%89.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.071.071.0894.34%93.46%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maine Black Bears (Visit)

Prediction 11.03%9.07fair odd

EV +4.74%

Edge +0.499%

Kelly +0.558%

Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.12%11.03%11.16%13.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.708.298.209.5014.93%12.07%12.20%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local): 88.97%; Maine Black Bears (Visit): 11.03%. For Maine Black Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.07. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.54%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.74%E +0.499%K +0.558%G +0.026%	4.0%	2026-08-06 05:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.54%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.769%E -0.085%K -0.096%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 05:40
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -3.91%E -3.62%K -48.85%G +0.000%	8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -5.18%E -0.602%K -0.681%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.54%G +0.000%	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -9.59%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.54%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.79%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-06 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.80%E -4.48%K -68.54%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.79%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-06 05:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.34%EV -5.69%E -5.37%K -94.79%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 13.66%EV -26.13%E -3.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-06 09:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.