Appalachian State Mountaineers v Maine Black Bears

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 90.74%1.10fair odd

EV -3.81%

Edge -3.60%

Kelly -63.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.72%90.74%90.74%92.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.041.051.061.0696.15%95.01%94.79%94.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Maine Black Bears (Visit)

Prediction 9.26%10.80fair odd

EV +11.07%

Edge +0.923%

Kelly +1.01%

Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.98%9.26%9.26%12.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

7.509.358.9512.0013.33%10.70%11.17%8.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.63%E -5.41%K -140.66%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.07%E +0.923%K +1.01%G +0.111%	4.5%	2026-07-27 03:10
Unibet (UK)	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.81%E -3.60%K -63.52%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.69%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-27 03:10
MyBookie.ag	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.36%EV -3.81%E -3.60%K -63.52%G +0.000%	8.90I 11.24%NM 10.64%EV -17.62%E -1.98%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-27 03:15
LeoVegas	1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -4.72%E -4.49%K -94.38%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -30.58%E -4.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-27 03:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.