The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Appalachian State Mountaineers v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 23:02 UTC

Final: Appalachian State Mountaineers 34–31 James Madison Dukes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 20.75%4.82fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%22.42%20.83%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.914.524.604.9152.36%22.12%21.74%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 79.25%1.26fair odd
EV +48.20%
Edge +25.77%
Kelly +55.40%
Growth +26.70%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%77.58%79.17%80.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.8785.47%82.64%83.33%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local): 20.75%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 79.25%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +48.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -60.37%E -31.61%K -66.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +48.20%E +25.77%K +55.40%G +26.70%5.8%2026-10-22 23:00
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 15:04
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 21:10
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 21:25
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.70%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 13:05
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.85%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.31%E -2.72%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 10:13
Pinnacle🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.77%EV +1.88%E +0.383%K +0.481%G +0.009%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.23%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-22 22:54
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:10
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 23:00
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 22:45
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 21:25
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 21:25
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.11%E -3.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 22:59
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 23:00
BetAnything🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 18:09
GTbets🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -3.51%E -0.756%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.55%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:00
Fliff🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.59%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 22:55
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 15:05
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.81%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 21:24
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.85%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 22:49
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.85%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.401%E -0.084%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:55
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:55
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:30
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -7.66%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.67%E +0.342%K +0.429%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 23:00
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.401%E -0.084%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 22:55
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.44%E -0.303%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 22:40
ReBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -5.59%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 23:00
betfred_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.70%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.48%E -5.50%K -36.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 22:55
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 23:00
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 23:00
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 22:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -12.85%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-10-22 22:40
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-10-22 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-10-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-10-22 23:00
Polymarket◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-10-22 16:50
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-10-22 22:05
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-10-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%1.7%2026-10-22 22:50