Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian State Mountaineers v Charlotte 49ers

2026-09-19 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 89.32%1.12fair odd

EV -3.53%

Edge -3.27%

Kelly -44.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.62%89.24%88.91%90.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.061.061.0895.24%94.19%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 10.68%9.37fair odd

EV +8.89%

Edge +0.872%

Kelly +0.967%

Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.41%10.76%11.09%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.508.608.5010.2013.33%11.63%11.76%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Appalachian State Mountaineers (Local): 89.32%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 10.68%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.37. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.20, producing a positive expected value of +8.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +8.89%E +0.872%K +0.967%G +0.086%	4.1%	2026-09-13 19:35
BetMGM🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.42%E -4.13%K -63.19%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.76%E +0.676%K +0.751%G +0.051%	3.5%	2026-09-13 19:40
Neds🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.25%E -0.135%K -0.151%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.25%E -0.135%K -0.151%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 19:35
DraftKings🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.53%E -3.27%K -44.12%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.26%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-13 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.26%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 19:15
SportsBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.21%E -5.91%K -124.19%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.26%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-13 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -10.32%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 19:34
ReBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.17%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 11.83%EV -15.66%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-13 19:14
LeoVegas🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.90%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -17.80%E -2.31%K -2.66%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-13 19:14
betano_uk🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.93%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 19:14
Bet Victor🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.32%E -5.02%K -88.60%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.93%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 19:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.52%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.48%	4.6%	2026-09-13 19:45