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Alabama Crimson Tide v Texas A&M Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 81.73%1.22fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -9.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.59%81.77%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.21%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 18.27%5.47fair odd
EV +5.08%
Edge +0.884%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%18.41%18.23%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.135.105.7522.22%19.48%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 81.73%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 18.27%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +5.08%E +0.884%K +1.07%G +0.054% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.34%E +0.418%K +0.509%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.34%E +0.418%K +0.509%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.34%E +0.418%K +0.509%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +2.34%E +0.418%K +0.509%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.512%E +0.093%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.512%E +0.093%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 10:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.512%E +0.093%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.32%E -0.244%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.98%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 18.02%EV -1.86%E -0.347%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.96%E -0.557%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.96%E -0.557%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 10:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.06%E -0.773%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-22 03:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.97%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.83%E -5.99%K -48.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -4.97%E -0.956%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-23 09:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -5.88%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -6.83%E -5.99%K -48.81%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -5.88%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 18:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -6.80%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-22 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.83%E -5.99%K -48.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 05:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.63%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.45%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.28%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.83%E -5.99%K -48.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.28%E -2.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.75%E -2.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.19%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.19%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 15:24 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -15.02%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 19:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -3.56%E -3.02%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -15.02%E -3.23%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.93%E -1.61%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.76%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.38%E -3.75%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.76%E -3.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26% | -0.1% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-24 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-21 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-10-24 19:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60% | 2.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |