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Alabama Crimson Tide v Georgia Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 53.96%1.85fair odd
EV -0.182%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%53.82%54.03%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8559.88%56.91%56.66%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 46.04%2.17fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%46.18%45.97%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.072.2551.28%48.17%48.31%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 53.96%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 46.04%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +3.60%E +1.60%K +2.88%G +0.104% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.30%E +0.590%K +1.08%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.30%E +0.590%K +1.08%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.376%E +0.173%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.376%E +0.173%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.084%E -0.039%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-10 23:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.93%E -0.904%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.182%E -0.098%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 23:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 0.1% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 23:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |