Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide v Georgia Bulldogs

2026-10-11 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV +0.166%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%42.29%42.60%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.3647.62%44.91%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 57.56%1.74fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.71%57.40%59.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6862.50%60.59%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 42.44%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 57.56%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.356. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.360, producing a positive expected value of +0.166%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.166%E +0.070%K +0.122%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.38%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 15:14
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 15:14
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.65%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 16:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:13
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:14
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 21:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.61%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 01:29
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.