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Alabama Crimson Tide v Georgia Bulldogs

2026-10-11 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%43.40%43.12%44.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.142.102.2548.08%46.72%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.03%56.60%56.88%57.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.701.7061.73%59.50%58.82%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 43.19%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 56.81%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -2.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 16:14
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.68%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.70%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 16:14
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.11%E -1.85%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.27%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.84%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.40%E -4.54%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:49
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 00:09
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.16%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.43%E -2.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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