Language:English
Alabama Crimson Tide v Florida State Seminoles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 89.30%1.12fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -17.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.10%88.92%89.37%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.37%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida State Seminoles (Visit)
Prediction 10.70%9.34fair odd
EV +7.02%
Edge +0.702%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.08%10.63%13.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.598.7010.0014.81%11.64%11.49%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 89.30%; Florida State Seminoles (Visit): 10.70%. For Florida State Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.34. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.02%E +0.702%K +0.780%G +0.055% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +4.24%E +0.435%K +0.485%G +0.021% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.56%E -3.29%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.67%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 14:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +0.174%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.36%EV -3.56%E -3.29%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.64%EV -2.93%E -0.323%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.68%E -0.409%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.68%E -0.409%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.68%E -0.409%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.24%E -5.94%K -124.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -3.68%E -0.409%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.24%E -5.94%K -124.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -3.68%E -0.409%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.34%EV -6.24%E -5.94%K -124.75%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -5.82%E -0.661%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 21:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -6.89%E -0.792%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 12:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.67%E -2.45%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -7.96%E -0.926%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.56%E -3.29%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.03%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.03%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.03%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 20:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.03%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -9.56%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.64%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.36%EV -11.49%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 20:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.56%E -3.29%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.38%E -1.80%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 19:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.38%E -1.80%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.38%E -1.80%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.67%E -2.45%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.73%E -2.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.67%E -2.45%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.73%E -2.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.56%E -3.29%K -44.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.73%E -2.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.45%E -4.16%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -19.73%E -2.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.34%E -5.04%K -89.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.73%E -2.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -1.77%E -1.61%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -22.41%E -3.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.77%E -1.61%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -25.08%E -3.58%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.67%E -2.45%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -25.08%E -3.58%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -2.67%E -2.45%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -27.76%E -4.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-09-19 21:09 |