Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide v East Carolina Pirates

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 94.73%1.06fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -3.30%

Kelly -168.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.83%94.62%94.57%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.56%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 5.27%18.99fair odd

EV +36.91%

Edge +1.42%

Kelly +1.48%

Growth +0.545%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.74%5.38%5.43%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0017.2916.0026.0010.00%5.78%6.25%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 94.73%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 5.27%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.99. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 26.00, producing a positive expected value of +36.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +36.91%E +1.42%K +1.48%G +0.545%	2.9%	2026-08-02 15:23
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +21.11%E +0.918%K +0.960%G +0.203%	3.4%	2026-08-03 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +21.11%E +0.918%K +0.960%G +0.203%	3.4%	2026-08-02 15:04
GTbets🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +15.84%E +0.720%K +0.754%G +0.120%	2.6%	2026-08-07 01:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +0.047%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-03 15:30
Coolbet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -13.12%E -0.795%K -0.846%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 16:05
Caesars🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -15.75%E -0.984%K -1.05%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-26 19:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -21.02%E -1.40%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-03 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -24.96%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-20 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -26.28%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-03 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.37%E -3.30%K -168.55%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -31.55%E -2.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-03 15:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.55%E -2.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 20:15
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.32%E -4.28%K -431.83%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -47.34%E -4.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-03 15:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.