The School of Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide v East Carolina Pirates

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 93.93%1.06fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -4.10%
Kelly -209.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.82%93.89%94.01%95.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.48%98.04%98.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 6.07%16.49fair odd
EV +27.37%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.375%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%6.11%5.99%10.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
9.0015.0616.0021.0011.11%6.64%6.25%4.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +27.37%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.375%3.8%2026-07-27 16:05
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +9.17%E +0.510%K +0.540%G +0.050%3.6%2026-07-20 22:19
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +3.11%E +0.183%K +0.194%G +0.006%4.9%2026-07-20 20:35
GTbets1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +3.11%E +0.183%K +0.194%G +0.006%4.9%2026-07-22 13:34
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:05
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -2.96%E -0.185%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 20:04
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -2.96%E -0.185%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:38
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -13.57%E -0.952%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -15.09%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -21.15%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.22%E -2.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:05
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.22%E -2.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:09
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -4.19%E -4.10%K -209.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -45.41%E -5.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.