Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Air Force Falcons v UNLV Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Air Force Falcons (Local)
Prediction 49.47%2.02fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.693%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%49.47%49.61%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.892.0555.56%52.85%52.91%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UNLV Rebels (Visit)
Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.53%50.39%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.882.0055.56%52.76%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Air Force Falcons (Local): 49.47%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 50.53%. For Air Force Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.42%E +0.693%K +1.35%G +0.019% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.42%E +0.693%K +1.35%G +0.019% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV +0.431%E +0.212%K +0.418%G +0.002% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.527%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.05%E -0.527%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.05%E -0.527%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.53%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.52%E -2.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.01%E -2.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.03%E -3.82%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.51%E -2.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -6.50%E -3.44%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -1.47%E -0.755%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.72%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.66%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.49%E -4.00%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.48%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 19:28 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.49%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.46%E -5.17%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.45%E -5.78%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.95%E -6.08%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.05%E +0.527%K +1.05%G +0.011% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 08:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |