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Air Force Falcons v San Jose State Spartans

2026-11-15 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Air Force Falcons (Local)

Prediction 78.96%1.27fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.62%78.93%78.81%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.59%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.266%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.07%21.19%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.63%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Air Force Falcons (Local): 78.96%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 21.04%. For San Jose State Spartans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.80, producing a positive expected value of +1.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.83%E -5.79%K -37.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.01%E +0.211%K +0.266%G +0.003%5.6%2026-11-08 19:44
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.25%E -4.38%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.041%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.04%E -5.08%K -31.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.041%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.67%E -3.01%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.20%E -0.695%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 19:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.62%E -6.51%K -44.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.695%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.62%E -6.51%K -44.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.20%E -0.695%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.46%E -3.69%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.46%E -3.69%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.46%E -3.69%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.99%E -8.76%K -71.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.67%E -3.01%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.41%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.25%E -4.38%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.41%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.62%E -6.51%K -44.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.88%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.09%E -1.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 19:03
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.88%E -2.34%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.46%E -3.69%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.51%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.67%E -3.01%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.56%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 19:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.67%E -3.01%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.56%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.25%E -4.38%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.62%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.83%E -5.79%K -37.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.62%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 18:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.83%E -5.79%K -37.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.62%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 18:40
picklebet_au🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.20%E -8.00%K -61.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -15.82%E -3.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%3.3%2026-11-08 19:05
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-11-08 19:30
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%9.7%2026-11-08 19:45
Polymarket◎1.11I 90.09%NM 78.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.72%15.1%2026-11-08 19:50

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