The School of Odds

Winnipeg Blue Bombers v Toronto Argonauts

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:38 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30–21 Toronto Argonauts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)

Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV +0.437%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.55%44.70%46.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2551%47%48%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.13%55.45%55.30%57.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8161%58%58%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.437%E +0.194%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 00:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.437%E +0.194%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:28
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.79%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.79%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 00:28
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 00:29
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 00:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.47%E -2.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:29
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.47%E -2.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 00:29
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:29
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:29
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -5.81%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:28
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 00:34
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 00:34
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 00:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 00:29
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV +0.204%E +0.113%K +0.252%G +0.001%3.3%2026-07-11 00:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:29
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:34
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:35
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:34
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:35
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 44.84%EV -9.38%E -4.62%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 00:29
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -12.95%E -6.64%K -13.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%1.8%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29