Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers v Toronto Argonauts

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:38 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30–21 Toronto Argonauts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)

Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV +0.437%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.55%44.70%46.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2551.28%47.41%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.13%55.45%55.30%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8160.61%58.02%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local): 44.64%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 55.36%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.437%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.437%E +0.194%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 00:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.437%E +0.194%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:28
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.79%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.79%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 00:28
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 00:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 00:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.47%E -2.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.47%E -2.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 00:29
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:34
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:29
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -5.81%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:29
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 00:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV +0.204%E +0.113%K +0.252%G +0.001%3.3%2026-07-11 00:35
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:34
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:34
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 00:35
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.84%EV -9.38%E -4.62%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 00:29
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -12.95%E -6.64%K -13.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%1.8%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-07-11 00:29

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