Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers v Saskatchewan Roughriders

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:00 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 19–6 Saskatchewan Roughriders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -0.701%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.19%47.37%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.72%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit)

Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%52.81%52.63%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.811.8357.47%55.45%55.25%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local): 47.29%; Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit): 52.71%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.701%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.701%E -0.334%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.701%E -0.334%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 16:40
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:17
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:27
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 19:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.96%E -2.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.59%E -2.53%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:24
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.28%E -4.76%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 18:00
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.06%E -2.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 19:40
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.28%E -4.76%K -11.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-12 18:30
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-09-12 18:55