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Winnipeg Blue Bombers v Montreal Alouettes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)
Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%27.55%27.67%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.423.453.8032.47%29.28%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montreal Alouettes (Visit)
Prediction 72.30%1.38fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -9.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.45%72.33%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3478.13%75.81%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local): 27.70%; Montreal Alouettes (Visit): 72.30%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +5.28%E +1.39%K +1.88%G +0.099% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -7.46%E -5.83%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -1.93%E -0.544%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -2.20%E -0.624%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.31%E -0.949%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.31%E -0.949%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-26 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -9.68%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.12%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -14.67%E -4.76%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |