Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers v BC Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 00:38 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 19–35 BC Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)

Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV +5.24%
Edge +3.75%
Kelly +13.11%
Growth +0.688%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%74.99%75.19%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.291.271.4083.33%77.69%78.74%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV +5.51%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%25.01%24.81%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.653.804.2535.71%27.38%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local): 75.17%; BC Lions (Visit): 24.83%. For BC Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +5.24%E +3.75%K +13.11%G +0.688%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -26.76%E -9.07%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +5.24%E +3.75%K +13.11%G +0.688%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -26.76%E -9.07%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +5.24%E +3.75%K +13.11%G +0.688%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -26.76%E -9.07%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:35
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +5.24%E +3.75%K +13.11%G +0.688%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -26.76%E -9.07%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:34
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV +5.24%E +3.75%K +13.11%G +0.688%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -29.25%E -10.26%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV +2.24%E +1.65%K +6.21%G +0.139%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -30.49%E -10.89%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -1.52%E -1.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -15.59%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -17.58%E -5.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -0.946%E -0.237%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.44%E -0.363%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 22:50
Everygame🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 00:35
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:15
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:03
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -10.13%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 18:29
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -10.13%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +5.51%E +1.30%K +1.69%G +0.093%4.2%2026-07-30 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +4.27%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.057%4.5%2026-07-30 21:59
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +0.543%E +0.134%K +0.178%G +0.001%5.3%2026-07-31 00:34
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.698%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.698%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:54
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.54%E -6.13%K -32.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.27%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.057%5.1%2026-07-30 20:05
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.79%E -8.16%K -48.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-07-31 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-07-31 00:30
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-07-31 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%4.4%2026-07-31 00:35

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