The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Winnipeg Blue Bombers v BC Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 00:30 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 19–30 BC Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local)

Prediction 35.91%2.78fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.98%35.91%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.472.8841.67%38.85%40.49%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 64.09%1.56fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%64.02%64.09%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.531.5469.93%66.60%65.36%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local): 35.91%; BC Lions (Visit): 64.09%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +3.42%E +1.19%K +1.82%G +0.062%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.35%E -5.84%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.34%E +0.820%K +1.26%G +0.030%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.71%E -5.35%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.30%E -0.843%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:49
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -11.31%E -4.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -1.94%E -1.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 12:49
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -11.31%E -4.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -1.94%E -1.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -12.02%E -4.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -3.22%E -2.13%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.82%E -5.76%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.94%E -1.27%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.