The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Argonauts v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 17:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Argonauts 22–25 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Argonauts (Local)

Prediction 67.88%1.47fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.87%68.03%69.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4474.07%71.15%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.676%
Kelly +0.985%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.42%32.13%31.97%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.903.1836.36%34.16%34.48%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 67.88%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 32.12%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -5.65%E -4.06%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV +2.15%E +0.676%K +0.985%G +0.021%3.4%2026-10-31 16:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.03%E -0.665%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 16:48
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.03%E -0.665%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.65%E -4.06%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.03%E -0.665%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.65%E -4.06%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.03%E -0.665%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 16:45
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.67%E -0.881%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 16:50
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.69%E -5.65%K -21.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.93%E -2.05%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 16:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 16:50
picklebet_au🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.85%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.49%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.26%E -1.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.45%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.93%E -2.05%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.45%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 16:40
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.45%E -2.97%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.06%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.06%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:39
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.23%EV -8.36%E -6.20%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.77%EV -11.02%E -3.98%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-10-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-10-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-10-31 16:55