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Toronto Argonauts v Ottawa Redblacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Argonauts (Local)
Prediction 82.02%1.22fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.17%81.80%82.18%82.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.74%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.13%18.20%17.82%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.175.105.6621.74%19.33%19.61%17.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 82.02%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 17.98%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +1.79%E +0.315%K +0.383%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.89%E -0.535%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -3.79%E -0.708%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.08%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -0.760%E -0.628%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |