Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Argonauts v Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 23:00 UTC

Final: Toronto Argonauts 14–20 Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Argonauts (Local)

Prediction 52.65%1.90fair odd

EV -1.01%

Edge -0.538%

Kelly -1.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.91%52.34%52.65%53.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.811.801.8856.50%55.29%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)

Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd

EV -3.41%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -3.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.87%47.66%47.35%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.951.991.992.0451.28%50.32%50.25%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 52.65%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 47.35%. For Toronto Argonauts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.01%E -0.538%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.67%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-28 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-29 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.41%E -1.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-28 23:30
NordicBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.78%E -2.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-29 08:09
Betsson🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.78%E -2.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-29 09:19
Betr (AU)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.28%E -3.53%K -8.05%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.20%E -3.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-29 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.25%E -3.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-29 06:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.