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Toronto Argonauts v Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Argonauts (Local)
Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.99%66.97%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.421.4572.46%70.17%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)
Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV -0.863%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.01%33.03%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.692.862.903.0037.17%34.91%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 66.95%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 33.05%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.863%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 22:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.18%E -0.738%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.863%E -0.288%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.52%E -0.511%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.52%E -0.511%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.853%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -5.59%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -7.14%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 22:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.59%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.863%E -0.288%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.09%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 33.91%EV -11.11%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 22:25 |