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Toronto Argonauts v Edmonton Elks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Argonauts (Local)
Prediction 43.04%2.32fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.487%
Kelly +0.847%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%43.38%42.89%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.57%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Edmonton Elks (Visit)
Prediction 56.96%1.76fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +4.47%
Growth +0.164%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%56.62%57.11%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.8261.35%59.22%59.17%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 43.04%; Edmonton Elks (Visit): 56.96%. For Edmonton Elks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -13.92%E -6.96%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +3.67%E +2.01%K +4.47%G +0.164% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:33 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.17%E -2.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.60%E -3.04%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.46%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.48%E -5.04%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.88%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.45%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.14%E +0.487%K +0.847%G +0.010% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.02%E -3.65%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.02%E -3.65%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.59%E -4.02%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -11.77%E -5.74%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -6.59%E -4.02%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.16%E -4.39%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.31%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.16%E -4.39%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |