The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toronto Argonauts v Calgary Stampeders

2026-08-06 23:30 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Argonauts (Local)

Prediction 52.21%1.92fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.21%52.38%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.791.9157.14%55.33%56.02%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Stampeders (Visit)

Prediction 47.79%2.09fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.317%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.79%47.62%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.942.1052.36%50.63%51.41%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.349%E +0.166%K +0.317%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-30 15:18
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.39%E -2.72%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 15:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.270%E -0.141%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 14:35
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.62%E -4.93%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.02%FanDuel 1.91 (52.4%) / DraftKings 2.10 (47.6%)Show details
Toronto Argonauts (Local)Calgary Stampeders (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.91 (52.4%)DraftKings 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%