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Toronto Argonauts v Calgary Stampeders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Argonauts (Local)
Prediction 49.50%2.02fair odd
EV +3.95%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.59%
Growth +0.142%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%48.84%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.982.002.1054.35%50.51%50.13%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Stampeders (Visit)
Prediction 50.50%1.98fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.16%50.00%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.831.9558.48%54.70%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 49.50%; Calgary Stampeders (Visit): 50.50%. For Toronto Argonauts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +3.95%E +1.88%K +3.59%G +0.142% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -13.64%E -7.98%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +2.96%E +1.42%K +2.74%G +0.081% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.62%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.47%E +0.719%K +1.40%G +0.021% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.11%E -5.68%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.011%E -0.005%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.11%E -5.68%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -0.506%E -0.252%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -5.56%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.00%E -0.500%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.58%E -4.14%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.00%E -0.500%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.58%E -4.14%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.00%E -0.500%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.58%E -4.14%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.00%E -0.500%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.09%E -4.44%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.50%E -0.752%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.58%E -4.14%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -1.99%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -8.09%E -4.44%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.99%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.48%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.97%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.52%E -0.782%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -3.98%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.56%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -8.92%E -4.85%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -9.60%E -5.37%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
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