Language:English
Toronto Argonauts v BC Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Argonauts (Local)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV -0.300%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.58%35.62%35.56%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.672.702.8040.16%37.40%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
BC Lions (Visit)
Prediction 64.39%1.55fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.38%64.44%65.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5069.93%67.54%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Argonauts (Local): 35.61%; BC Lions (Visit): 64.39%. For Toronto Argonauts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.300%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.300%E -0.107%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.37%E -0.494%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.37%E -0.494%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.08%E -0.756%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.08%E -0.756%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.08%E -0.756%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.08%E -0.756%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.08%E -0.756%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.05%E -2.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.86%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.99%E -4.10%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.63%E -4.57%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -11.34%E -4.55%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.52%EV -7.92%E -5.54%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |