Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 23:00 UTC

Final: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31–27 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)

Prediction 69.10%1.45fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -12.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.00%69.10%69.10%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.371.371.3873.53%72.99%72.99%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%30.90%30.90%31.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.083.103.1032.79%32.43%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local): 69.10%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 30.90%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -4.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.64%E -3.36%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.33%E -3.89%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.