Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders v Toronto Argonauts

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC

Final: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28–24 Toronto Argonauts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)

Prediction 64.41%1.55fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.22%64.58%64.20%66.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.481.481.5371.94%67.65%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.870%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.49%35.42%35.80%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.652.8839.22%37.22%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local): 64.41%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 35.59%. For Toronto Argonauts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +2.51%E +0.870%K +1.33%G +0.033%2.3%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.44%E +0.504%K +0.777%G +0.011%4.5%2026-08-28 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV +1.08%E +0.381%K +0.588%G +0.006%5.1%2026-08-28 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.342%E -0.122%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.342%E -0.122%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.05%E -0.379%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 22:50
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 22:19
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 22:14
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 22:30
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.96%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.96%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.54%E -6.01%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.46%E -0.952%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.46%E -0.952%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.74%E -1.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:29
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:29
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -5.96%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.04%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 22:55
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.51%EV -10.47%E -7.53%K -26.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.49%EV -6.04%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 23:10
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -1.46%E -0.952%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:49
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-29 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-29 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-29 22:40
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-29 22:30