Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders v Ottawa Redblacks

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 01:10 UTC

Final: Saskatchewan Roughriders 42–20 Ottawa Redblacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)

Prediction 74.86%1.34fair odd
EV +8.55%
Edge +5.90%
Kelly +19.01%
Growth +1.63%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.10%74.58%75.32%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.281.4581.30%76.80%78.13%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%25.42%24.68%34.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.573.774.2038.02%27.98%26.49%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local): 74.86%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 25.14%. For Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +8.55%E +5.90%K +19.01%G +1.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -30.88%E -11.23%K -17.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +7.81%E +5.42%K +17.74%G +1.38%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -30.88%E -11.23%K -17.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +7.81%E +5.42%K +17.74%G +1.38%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -30.88%E -11.23%K -17.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:00
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +7.81%E +5.42%K +17.74%G +1.38%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -30.88%E -11.23%K -17.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV +7.06%E +4.93%K +16.41%G +1.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -32.14%E -11.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV +5.56%E +3.94%K +13.56%G +0.754%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -33.89%E -12.89%K -20.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.61%EV -1.18%E -0.893%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.39%EV -16.30%E -4.90%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.61%EV -1.18%E -0.893%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.39%EV -16.30%E -4.90%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 01:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -16.55%E -4.99%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.05%E -5.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.57%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -0.465%E -0.117%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:50
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-07 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.717%E -0.181%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 20:10
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.717%E -0.181%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:50
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 09:45
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.540%E +0.135%K +0.180%G +0.001%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 14:55
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +5.57%E +1.33%K +1.74%G +0.097%4.5%2026-08-08 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.05%E +0.745%K +0.985%G +0.030%5.0%2026-08-07 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 01:00
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%3.4%2026-08-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-08-08 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-08-08 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-08-08 01:05

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