The School of Odds

Saskatchewan Roughriders v Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 23:11 UTC

Final: Saskatchewan Roughriders 38–7 Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)

Prediction 76.99%1.30fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -8.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.65%76.94%77.00%78.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.91%80.65%78.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)

Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV +5.41%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 4.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.03%23.06%23.00%26.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.554.064.004.5828.17%24.65%25.00%21.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +5.41%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082%3.8%2026-07-12 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +5.41%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082%3.8%2026-07-12 23:05
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.57%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.43%EV +3.79%E +0.841%K +1.08%G +0.041%3.5%2026-07-12 23:10
Everygame1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005%4.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-12 23:08
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005%4.7%2026-07-12 23:08
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.112%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 22:59
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.112%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.62%E -6.35%K -38.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.34%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 23:09
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 23:09
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 23:10
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 23:10
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 23:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 23:01
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.09%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 23:09
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 22:59
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 23:09
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 23:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.23%E -1.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 23:09
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 23:09
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -17.15%E -4.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 22:59
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -2.23%E -1.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -18.30%E -5.15%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%4.5%2026-07-12 23:10
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%4.5%2026-07-12 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%11.1%2026-07-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-12 23:10