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Saskatchewan Roughriders v Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)
Prediction 76.99%1.30fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -8.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.65%76.94%77.00%78.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.91%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)
Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV +5.41%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 4.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.03%23.06%23.00%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.064.004.5828.17%24.65%25.00%21.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local): 76.99%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 23.01%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +5.41%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +5.41%E +1.18%K +1.51%G +0.082% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.57%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.43%EV +3.79%E +0.841%K +1.08%G +0.041% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 23:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.26%E +0.287%K +0.371%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.112%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.112%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.62%E -6.35%K -38.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.34%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.08%E -4.98%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.64%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 23:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.94%E -1.99%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.31%E -4.32%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.09%E -2.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.54%E -3.66%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.24%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.40%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.23%E -1.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.77%E -3.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.70%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -6.85%E -5.66%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -17.15%E -4.76%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -2.23%E -1.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -18.30%E -5.15%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-12 23:10 |
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