Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders v Calgary Stampeders

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 01:38 UTC

Final: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31–37 Calgary Stampeders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local)

Prediction 66.58%1.50fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%66.57%66.51%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.4873.53%69.72%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Stampeders (Visit)

Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV +0.254%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.127%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.43%33.49%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.803.0037.04%35.34%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saskatchewan Roughriders (Local): 66.58%; Calgary Stampeders (Visit): 33.42%. For Calgary Stampeders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.254%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.254%E +0.085%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.254%E +0.085%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 23:00
Everygame🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.254%E +0.085%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 20:31
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.254%E +0.085%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.254%E +0.085%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 21:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.08%E -0.366%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 19:28
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.12%E -4.34%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.42%E -0.480%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.42%E -0.480%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-02 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 21:34
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 21:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 23:05
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.79%E -1.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 16:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 23:44
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.12%E -4.34%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.46%E -0.986%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-02 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.46%E -0.986%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-02 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.38%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.12%E -2.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.45%E -3.84%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.12%E -4.34%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-02 23:05
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.83%EV -9.45%E -6.95%K -26.25%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.17%EV -8.43%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:04
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.12%E -1.45%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-10-02 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-10-02 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-10-02 22:35
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-03 01:20