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Ottawa Redblacks v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 23:08 UTC

Final: Ottawa Redblacks 34–36 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks (Local)

Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.13%32.04%31.98%34.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.962.953.2037.74%33.78%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 68.03%1.47fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.59%67.96%68.02%69.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.58%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +2.30%E +0.718%K +1.04%G +0.024%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:40
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.699%E +0.222%K +0.325%G +0.002%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 21:54
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.819%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 23:00
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.50%E -0.819%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 23:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.50%E -0.819%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 22:15
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.50%E -0.819%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 22:20
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -3.46%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 22:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:05
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 22:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 01:05
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 09:10
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:05
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:05
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:05
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 22:59
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 02:05
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:55
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:55
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 23:05
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.75%E -3.40%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 22:15
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 22:50
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-14 23:04
MyBookie.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.16%E -6.04%K -23.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 23:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:25
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -15.29%E -5.77%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -5.44%E -3.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-19 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-19 23:05
ProphetX2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-19 23:00