Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks v Montreal Alouettes

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 23:00 UTC

Final: Ottawa Redblacks 27–3 Montreal Alouettes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks (Local)

Prediction 71.49%1.40fair odd

EV -1.35%

Edge -0.976%

Kelly -3.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.20%71.48%71.49%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.341.351.3877.52%74.55%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montreal Alouettes (Visit)

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd

EV +2.64%

Edge +0.734%

Kelly +1.02%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.38%28.52%28.51%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.233.103.6032.79%30.97%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Redblacks (Local): 71.49%; Montreal Alouettes (Visit): 28.51%. For Montreal Alouettes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.07%E -5.44%K -23.55%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.64%E +0.734%K +1.02%G +0.027%	4.7%	2026-05-29 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.78%E -6.03%K -26.83%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.64%E +0.734%K +1.02%G +0.027%	5.3%	2026-05-29 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.35%E -0.976%K -3.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-29 18:39
NordicBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.78%E -2.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-29 18:39
Betsson🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.78%E -2.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.61%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-29 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.49%E -2.59%K -9.97%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-29 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.49%E -2.59%K -9.97%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -13.04%E -4.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-29 18:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.