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Ottawa Redblacks v Montreal Alouettes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Redblacks (Local)
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +5.55%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%26.25%26.62%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.604.0030.30%27.91%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montreal Alouettes (Visit)
Prediction 73.61%1.36fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -6.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.75%73.38%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.47%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Redblacks (Local): 26.39%; Montreal Alouettes (Visit): 73.61%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +5.55%E +1.39%K +1.85%G +0.103% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.98%E -6.39%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.269%E +0.071%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.269%E +0.071%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.269%E +0.071%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 21:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 06:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 06:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 09:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.22%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.25%E -5.75%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.77%E -4.51%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.51%E -5.13%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.30%E -3.31%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.30%E -3.31%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.25%E -5.75%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 23:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.83%E -2.14%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.57%E -2.72%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 19:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.72%E -7.03%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-30 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -10.55%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.44%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.09%E -1.57%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.30%E -3.31%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 23:30 |
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