Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks v Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 23:00 UTC

Final: Ottawa Redblacks 16–34 Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%51.08%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9156.18%53.91%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.92%48.95%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.942.0254.05%51.51%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Redblacks (Local): 51.05%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 48.95%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:55
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 15:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 15:35
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.13%E -0.559%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-02 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:35
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 22:54
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 22:55
ReBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -9.12%E -5.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -9.45%E -5.11%K -11.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.9%2026-10-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-10-02 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-10-02 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-10-02 22:50