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Ottawa Redblacks v BC Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Redblacks (Local)
Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV +8.09%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.193%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%24.66%24.56%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.393.923.984.4029.50%25.54%25.16%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
BC Lions (Visit)
Prediction 75.43%1.33fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.44%75.34%75.44%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.241.3181.97%79.58%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Redblacks (Local): 24.57%; BC Lions (Visit): 75.43%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +8.09%E +1.84%K +2.38%G +0.193% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +8.09%E +1.84%K +2.38%G +0.193% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.97%E -6.53%K -36.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +6.86%E +1.58%K +2.05%G +0.141% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +6.62%E +1.53%K +1.98%G +0.131% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +6.62%E +1.53%K +1.98%G +0.131% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +5.64%E +1.31%K +1.71%G +0.096% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -7.22%E -5.87%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.18%E +0.757%K +0.994%G +0.032% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.95%E +0.470%K +0.619%G +0.012% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.723%E +0.176%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.46%E -5.21%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.73%E -0.433%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.71%E -4.57%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.96%E -0.750%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.22%E -5.87%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.19%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.10%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -14.02%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.18%E -0.902%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.02%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.02%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.02%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.02%E -4.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.34%EV -15.49%E -4.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.66%EV -7.22%E -5.87%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -16.72%E -4.93%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.44%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |