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Ottawa Redblacks v BC Lions

2026-08-30 23:00 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Redblacks (Local)

Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.322%
Kelly +0.469%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.98%31.57%31.71%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.712.922.903.2036.90%34.22%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 68.43%1.46fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.97%68.43%68.29%70.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4375.19%72.99%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ottawa Redblacks (Local): 31.57%; BC Lions (Visit): 68.43%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.03%E +0.322%K +0.469%G +0.005%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.25%E -4.56%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.25%E -4.56%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 17:44
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 18:14
ReBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 32.92%EV -14.44%E -5.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.08%EV -8.99%E -6.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-20 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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